貿易開放與所得不均:以門檻迴歸法分析
作者
莊希豐* (淡江大學經濟學系)
陳亞為 (淡江大學經濟學系)
Authors
Shi-Feng Chuang* (Department of Economics, Tamkang University)
Yah-Wei Chen (Department of Economics, Tamkang University)
中文摘要
本文引用 Hansen (1999) 門檻模型,針對 1960 年至 2005 年 62 個國家資料作橫斷面分析,客觀估計貿易自由化對高、低所得國家之所得分配影響。實證結果指出在低所得國家商品自由化大致會惡化國內所得分配,在高所得國家商品自由化大致上對國內所得分配無顯著影響;而外人直接投資對低所得國家所得分配無影響,在高所得國家外人直接投資將顯著惡化國內所得分配。此結果意味著各國可依其經濟發展程度適當地調整開放政策,以利國內長期經濟發展與所得分配。
Abstract
This paper empirically investigates the threshold effects of openness on income inequality. Specifically, we use Hansen's (1999) threshold regression model to examine whether the openness-inequality link varies with the degree of a country's income. By applying the model to 62 countries during the period 1996-2005, we find that there indeed exists an income threshold in the openness-inequality link. Moreover, the opening of goods markets increases income inequality in low-income countries. However, in high-income ones trade openness has minor effects. By contrast, foreign direct investment is found to increase income inequality in high-income countries and has an unimportant effect in low-income ones. These findings suggest that to reduce income inequality, the governments need to consider their positions in the economic development process and adopt relevant openness strategies.
中文關鍵字
貿易開放;外人直接投資;所得分配不均;門檻;HOSS 定理
Keywords
Trade Openness; Foreign Direct Investment; Income Inequality; Threshold; HOSS Theorem